Backing Big Early Horse Racing Steamers To Place

Wednesday 30th January 2013

There have been 7 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Prince James in the 17:00 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 7.02)
Irene Kennet in the 14:50 at Kempton on Monday (BSP of 6.60)
Compton Rainbow in the 16:50 at Kempton on Monday (BSP of 3.96)
Naru in the 16:40 at Wolverhampton on Monday (BSP of 3.54)
Hepworth in the 17:10 at Wolverhampton on Monday (BSP of 3.20)
Hab Reeth in the 13:40 at Wolverhampton on Monday (BSP of 2.69)
Stand Guard in the 15:00 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 1.15)

11
 top-rated selections have placed and 4 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections.

Backing Big Early Horse Racing Steamers To Place

Not everyone is able to monitor the racing right up until 1 minute before the off for every race. With this in mind, we spent some time investigating the earlier price movements on JustStartHere to see if there were any profitable betting angles to be found.

One pattern jumped out straight away – the biggest stand out 60 minute steamers in 3 out of the opening 4 races on Monday went on to place with big Betfair place odds. By “stand out” we mean green or blue steamers – i.e. horses that have recorded Mov values in excess of +2.5 (green) or +5(blue). The Mov60 values for the biggest “stand out” steamers in the 3 races mentioned are outlined in red on the screenshot below:

Early SteamersClick on image above to enlarge

Using 11am as the morning comparison time on JustStartHere, backing only the biggest green or blue Mov60 steamer in each race to place over the last 2 days would have returned a profit of 43.32 points after commission (based on Betfair place SPs). The full results are listed below:

Date Race Horse 11am Price 60 Min Price Mov60 Value Result Betfair Place SP Returns
28/01 13:40 Wolverhampton Bachelor Knight 36.00 25.00 +3.05 P 3.14
28/01 13:50 Kempton Kindia 110.00 65.00 +4.09 P 32.40
28/01 14:10 Wolverhampton Script 46.00 30.00 +3.47 P 8.00
28/01 15:10 Wolverhampton King Wood 27.00 7.00 +7.40 L -1.00
28/01 15:20 Kempton Saffron Park 50.00 26.00 +4.80 L -1.00
28/01 16:20 Kempton Reflect 14.00 8.40 +3.99 W 1.83
28/01 16:40 Wolverhampton Lucky Mountain 19.00 12.00 +3.68 L -1.00
28/01 17:10 Wolverhampton Mediterranean Sea 17.50 12.50 +2.85 L -1.00
29/01 13:20 Lingfield Maid Of Oaksey 29.00 18.00 +3.79 L -1.00
29/01 16:20 Lingfield Oscars Den 7.80 4.50 +4.23 W 1.43
29/01 17:30 Wolverhampton Ace Master 9.00 5.40 +3.99 P 1.52
Total: 43.32

Early days yet, but this approach could well be worth some further investigation – especially for those who prefer to get their bets on a bit earlier than 1 minute before the off. We’ll keep an eye on results over the next few days and look to analyse the historical performance of the system over a longer period of time.

Click here to start developing your own horse racing price movement betting systems with JustStartHere

Unusual Betting Patterns At The Irish Horse Racing Meetings Over The Weekend

Monday 7th January 2013

There have been 10 top-rated winners over the last 3 days:

Newton Tonic in the 15:30 at Plumpton yesterday (Betfair SP of 7.02)
Flying Tempo in the 15:00 at Wolverhampton on Friday (BSP of 4.20)
Basle in the 12:30 at Wolverhampton on Friday (BSP of 3.98)
Farmleigh House in the 14:35 at Lingfield on Saturday (BSP of 3.51)
Miss Bunter in the 14:30 at Wolverhampton on Friday (BSP of 3.31)
One For Harry in the 13:05 at Newcastle on Saturday (BSP of 2.62)
Drawnfromthepast in the 16:00 at Wolverhampton on Friday (2.49)
Golden Flower in the 12:50 at Lingfield on Saturday (BSP of 1.93)
Berlusca in the 14:45 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 1.71)
Activate in the 15:20 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 1.61)

20 top-rated selections have placed & 21 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections. To view the overall performance of the top-rated selections, please click here.

E-Book System Results – Last 3 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) +7.00 points

(+17.80 points amassed in 2013)

Cherry Pips:  -58.70 points

(-80.40 points amassed in 2013)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to the Cherry Picks ratings)

Notable Winning Steamers Over The Weekend

Beneficial Spirit steamed in massively from an 11am price of 55 to a 1 minute price of 19 & recorded a big Mov1 value of +6.54 on JustStartHere before winning the 14:05 at Naas yesterday.

Dalasiri came in from an 11am price of 42 to a 1 minute price of 8.2 & recorded a significant Mov1 value of +8.04 before winning the 12:40 at Cork on Saturday.

There were more telling betting patterns at Cork later that day as Wilde Wit Pleasure steamed in from an 11am price of 26 to a 1 minute price of 10 & recorded a Mov1 value of +6.15 before winning the 14:55.

Watch where the money’s going on the betting exchanges quickly & easily with JustStartHere

Free Horse Racing Price Movement Betting System

Wednesday 7th November 2012

There have been 8 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Foster’s Road in the 18:30 at Wolverhampton yesterday (Dead Heat) (BSP of 30)
Moscow Chancer in the 14:05 at Kempton on Monday (BSP of 9.69)
Categorical in the 15:30 at Redcar yesterday (BSP of 6.66)
Boonga Roogeta in the 19:30 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 2.41)
Filfil in the 17:00 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 2.16)
Royale Knight in the 16:05 at Plumpton on Monday (BSP of 1.83)
Ghizao in the 15:10 at Kempton on Monday (BSP of 1.63)
La Estrella in the 14:10 at Southwell yesterday (BSP of 1.38)

La Estrella and trainer Don Cantillon after a record breaking 13th consecutive win at Southwell

La Estrella and trainer Don Cantillon after a record breaking 13th
consecutive win at Southwell yesterday (photo: MailOnline)

16 top-rated selections have placed (including Community in the 15:55 at Wolverhampton on Monday with a Betfair place SP of 8.37) & 12 races have been won by second or third top-rated horses. Dutching the top 3 in every race over the last 2 days would have returned a profit of 6.31 points after Betfair commission (based on Betfair SPs).

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) +8.00 points

(379.90 points amassed in 2012)

Cherry Pips:  +19.80 points

(559.00 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)

JustStartHere Price Movement Dutching System Idea

Dutching horses that recorded the highest 2 positive Mov1 & 321 values on JustStartHere in each race yesterday returned a profit of 5.97 points after Betfair commission (based on prices 1 minute before the off). There were 18 winners out of 36 races:

Race  Result  Dutch Returns
12:40 Southwell

W

+0.82

12:55 Punchestown

W

+0.17

13:00 Redcar

W

+0.94

13:10 Southwell

W

+0.67

13:25 Punchestown

L

-1.00

13:30 Redcar

L

-1.00

13:40 Southwell

W

+1.36

13:50 Exeter

L

-1.00

13:55 Punchestown

L

-1.00

14:00 Redcar

L

-1.00

14:10 Southwell

L

-1.00

14:20 Exeter

W

+0.93

14:25 Punchestown

L

-1.00

14:30 Redcar

W

+1.33

14:40 Southwell

W

+4.45

14:50 Exeter

L

-1.00

14:55 Punchestown

L

-1.00

15:00 Redcar

W

+0.39

15:10 Southwell

W

+1.89

15:20 Exeter

W

+0.01

15:25 Punchestown

L

-1.00

15:30 Redcar

L

-1.00

15:40 Southwell

W

+3.12

15:50 Exeter

L

-1.00

15:55 Punchestown

W

+0.43

16:00 Redcar

L

-1.00

16:10 Southwell

L

-1.00

16:20 Exeter

W

+1.27

16:30 Wolverhampton

W

+2.57

17:00 Wolverhampton

W

+0.50

17:30 Wolverhampton

L

-1.00

18:00 Wolverhampton

W

+1.90

18:30 Wolverhampton

L

-1.00

19:00 Wolverhampton

L

-1.00

19:30 Wolverhampton

L

-1.00

20:00 Wolverhampton

W

+1.22

 Total:  +5.97


The Selection Process

In the 14:40 at Southwell yesterday (see JustStartHere screenshot below), the qualifying dutch selections were Robyn (highest positive Mov1 value & highest positive 321 value in the race), Underwhelm (second highest positive Mov1 value in the race) & Constant Dream (second highest positive 321 value in the race). Dutching these 3 selections returned a profit of 4.45 points after Betfair commission (based on the 1 minute prices).

The qualifying dutch selections in the 15:40 at Southwell were Jermatt (highest positive Mov1 value in the race), Dazzlin Bluebell (second highest positive Mov1 value in the race), Island Express (highest positive 321 value in the race) & Bonbon Bonnie (second highest positive 321 value in the race).  Dutching these 4 selections returned a profit of 3.12 points after Betfair commission (based on the 1 minute prices).

The Mov1 & 321 values appear on the JustStartHere Upcoming Races screen 1 minute before post time. They show the price movement between 11am and 1 minute before the off and 3 minutes and 1 minute before the off respectively:

Price Movement Dutching System Selections

Sign up to JustStartHere to try out this approach or start developing your own price movement betting systems – it only costs £6 to trial the service for 1 month:


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“A cool 12 points profit in less than one hour – this certainly beats working for a living!”

Wednesday 8th August 2012

There have been 12 top-rated winners over the last 3 days:

Beau Michael in the 16:20 at Naas on Monday (Betfair SP of 6.76)
Dynastic in the 15:00 at Bath yesterday (BSP of 5.62)
Elusive Bonus in the 14:45 at Ripon on Monday (BSP of 3.89)
Courtesy Call in the 15:40 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 3.45)
Awesome Pearl in the 19:55 at Kempton yesterday (BSP of 3.23)
Lady Chaparral in the 20:05 at Carlisle on Monday (BSP of 3.14)
Attraction Ticket in the 14:30 at Kempton on Monday (BSP of 3.09)
Fleur De La Vie in the 17:00 at Kempton on Monday (BSP of 2.63)
Croftamie in the 16:50 at Catterick yesterday (BSP of 2.62)
Waspy in the 14:30 at Bath yesterday (BSP of 2.5)
Bute Hall in the 15:50 at Catterick yesterday (BSP of 2.23)
Dance Company in the 17:10 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 2.07)

27 top-rated selections have placed and 11 races have been won by second or third top-rated horses.

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays +0.2 points

(612.68 points amassed since Oct 2009)

Cherry Pips:  +21.2 points

(421.7 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)

JustStartHere Feedback

Well done to John who got in contact with us yesterday asking for advice on how to get the best out of our horse racing steamers and drifters identification service JustStartHere. We pointed him in the direction of the JustStartHere User Guide and the Cherry Bets Blog and received this email from him last night:

“Thanks for your very helpful email which gave me the renewed confidence to get back into the game of making money.

Because other commitments this afternoon, I was only able to dutch the first 6 races. You probably know the rest……..6/6 did the business! This made me a cool 12 points profit in less than one hour.

This certainly beats working for a living!

Best regards,

John” 

The first 6 races yesterday were won by 5 star rated horses including Entwined who won the 14:00 at Bath with a Betfair SP of 17.55 and Not Now Blondie who won the 14:10 at Wolverhampton with a Betfair SP of 6.13:

5 Star WinnersPlease Note: You can view the image above in more detail by right-clicking on it and selecting “Open image in new tab”. Alternatively you can zoom in and out by holding the Ctrl key and pressing + or -.

To try out some of the betting approaches mentioned in the user guide and the blog or to start developing your own, sign up to JustStartHere:

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The Profitable Horse Racing Place Betting System Based Around Late Market Movers

Free Horse Racing RatingsWednesday 25th July 2012

There have been 9 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Sun Tzu in the 14:40 at Southwell yesterday (Betfair SP of 16.08)
Juvenal in the 20:40 at Windsor on Monday (Betfair SP of 6.67)
Blown It in the 16:45 at Ayr on Monday (Betfair SP of 5.08)
Florio Vincitore in the 17:00 at Musselburgh yesterday (BSP of 4.5)
Seven Veils in the 17:50 at Yarmouth yesterday (Betfair SP of 4.5)
Scommettitrice in the 21:05 at Ffos Las yesterday (Betfair SP of 4.3)
Chosen Character in the 14:30 at Ayr on Monday (Betfair SP of 2.83)
Pale Orchid in the 20:05 at Ffos Las yesterday (Betfair SP of 2.38)
Houston Dynimo in the 15:30 at Musselburgh yesterday (BSP of 2.22)

28 top-rated selections have placed and 14 races have been won by second or third top-rated horses. To view the overall performance of our top-rated selections, please click here.


PLEASE NOTE:
 If you would like to access the Cherry Picks ratings 7 days a week, please sign up to our horse racing market movers service JustStartHere. The ratings are available to download in both PDF and Excel format direct from the website every morning from about 8am.

Subscription costs just £6 per month via PayPal and there is no long-term commitment to the service – you can cancel or reactivate your account at any time direct from your PayPal account. You’ll also get full access to the steamers and drifters identification service & our detailed daily racecards. To sign up, please click here or on the button below:


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E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays 0 points

(608.48 points amassed since Oct 2009)

Cherry Pips:  +19 points

(507.3 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)

Backing Big Late Steamers On JustStartHere To Place

Backing horses with 321 values of +2 or more on JustStartHere to place yesterday would have returned a profit of 10.08 points after Betfair commission (based on Betfair place SPs). 9 out of the 18 qualifying selections went on to place:

321 Steamer Place Results

The 321 values show how much prices have steamed or drifted during the last few minutes before post time (when the majority of money is traded on betting exchanges). They appear on the JustStartHere upcoming races page 1 minute before the off – this leaves you plenty of time to get your bets on:

321 Steamer Place Bet
Watch where the money’s going and start developing your own profitable betting systems with JustStartHere today:

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Please visit the website or drop us an email if you have any queries about any of our services.

Best of luck!

Cherry Bets
info@cherrybets.com


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Backing “Stand Out” Horse Racing Steamers To Win

Free Horse Racing RatingsFriday 13th July 2012

There have been 10 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Lisiere in the 15:50 at Catterick on Wednesday (BSP of 8.33)
Stock Hill Fair in the 17:10 at Yarmouth on Wednesday (BSP of 7.12)
Lieutenant Kojak in the 19:20 at Epsom yesterday (BSP of 5.1)
Emperors Waltz in the 14:40 at Yarmouth on Wednesday (BSP of 4.77)
Whatyouthink in the 20:55 at Leopardstown yesterday (BSP of 4.6)
Kian’s Delight in the 15:20 at Catterick on Wednesday (BSP of 3.26)
Silent Moment in the 20:20 at Kempton on Wednesday (BSP of 2.97)
Custom Cut in the 20:00 at Naas on Wednesday (BSP of 2.87)
Famous Poet in the 20:50 at Kempton on Wednesday (BSP of 2.84)
Magic Destiny in the 15:45 at Doncaster yesterday (BSP of 2.69)

23 top-rated selections have placed and 14 races have been won by second or third top-rated horses. To view the overall performance of our top-rated selections, please click here.

PLEASE NOTE: If you would like to access the Cherry Picks 7 days a week, please sign up to our horse racing market movers service JustStartHere. The ratings are available to download in both PDF and Excel format direct from the website every morning from about 8am.

Subscription costs just £6 per month via PayPal and there is no long-term commitment to the service – you can cancel or reactivate your account at any time direct from your PayPal account. You’ll also get full access to the steamers and drifters identification service & our detailed daily racecards. To sign up, please click here or on the button below:


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E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays -1 point

(580.48 points amassed since Oct 2009)

Cherry Pips:  +13.3 points

(468.9 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)


Stand Out Steamers On JustStartHere

There were a lot of winning stand out steamers on JustStartHere yesterday. King Of Dudes was the only green steamer in the 19:25 at Leopardstown and went on to win the race with a Betfair SP of 8.23:

Stand Out SteamerPlease Note: You can view the image above and the one below in more detail by right-clicking on them and selecting “Open image in new tab”. Alternatively you can zoom in and out by holding the Ctrl key and pressing + or -.


Colliding Worlds
 won the 18:55 at Leopardstown with a Betfair SP of 3.3 and Charming won the 19:05 at Folkestone with a Betfair SP of 6.34 - both were the only blue steamers in their respective races:

Stand Out Steamers
Snow Angel was the only green steamer in the 18:30 at Folkestone and went on to win the race with a Betfair SP of 7.42:

Stand Out Steamer

Green steamer Anton Chigurh won the 17:25 at Doncaster after coming in from an 11am price of 10 to a 1 minute price of 6:
Stand Out Steamer
Ferryview Place went from an 11am price of 8.6 into a 1 minute price of 5.7 before winning the 16:35 at Dundalk. Again, it was the only green steamer in the race:

Stand Out Steamer
Catch the stand out steamers over the weekend with JustStartHere:

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Please visit the website or drop us an email if you have any queries about any of our services.

Cherry Bets
info@cherrybets.com


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FREE Horse Racing Market Movers Betting System – Backing “Stand Out” Steamers On JustStartHere To Win

Below you’ll find details of a very simple system based around backing noteworthy steamers on JustStartHere. This level stakes approach has returned a profit of 54.56 points after Betfair commission over the last 3 days. Out of 43 races, there have been 12 winners – that represents a 28% hit rate and a 127% return on investment.


The Rules

  • Use 11am as the morning comparison time.
  • Wait until 1 minute before the start of the race (when the Mov1 figures come in).
  • If there is just one blue Mov1 steamer in the race, back it to win. If there are two or more blue steamers in a race, ignore it and move onto the next race.
  • If there are no blue Mov1 steamers but one green Mov1 steamer, back it to win. If there are no blue steamers and two or more green steamers in a race, ignore it and move onto the next race.
  • If there are no blue or green steamers in a race, ignore it and move onto the next race.
  • That’s it!


What are blue and green Mov1 steamers?

The Mov1 values on JustStartHere show how much prices have steamed in or drifted out since the morning. Basically they compare the prices at 1 minute before the off against the prices in the morning (11am in this case). Big steamers are automatically colour-coded green or blue depending on how much the price has come in (blue steamers have Mov1 values of at least +5.01 and green steamers have Mov1 values between +2.5 and +5).


Recent Results

The system made a profit of 12.36 points on Sunday (see results below). The returns are based on using Betfair 1 minute prices and take into account 5% commission.

Steamer Betting SystemHorse Racing Steamer SystemHorse Racing Steamer System


On Monday the system made a huge profit of 
33.64 points. There were 4 winners out of 13 qualifying selections:

Steamer Results - 28/05/2012

Yesterday the system made a profit of 7.61 points. There were 5 winners out of 18 qualifying selections:

 Steamer Results - 29/05/2012

If you would like to try out this system or start developing your own systems based on weight of money movement, sign up to our horse racing price monitoring site JustStartHere. Subscription costs just £6 per month and you have the flexibility to cancel or reactivate your account on a month by month basis direct from your PayPal account.

As well as the live price comparison service for all UK and Irish racing, you’ll also enjoy full access to our popular ratings service Cherry Picks, our detailed daily racecards and a library of historical price movement data. To sign up, please click on the button below:

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