The 2013 Cheltenham Festival – How Did The Top-Rated Cherry Picks Fare?

Monday 18th March 2013

There have been 31 top-rated winners over the last 7 days:

12-Mar-13  17:15 Cheltenham - Rajdhani Express (BSP of 18.72)
15-Mar-13  19:00 Wolverhampton - Fosters Road (10.38)
15-Mar-13  21:20 Dundalk - All Ablaze (8.80)
13-Mar-13  14:30 Southwell - Rio Cobolo (7.34)
15-Mar-13  13:55 Lingfield - Devout (5.88)
14-Mar-13  20:45 Wolverhampton - Greenhead High (5.21)
12-Mar-13  19:50 Wolverhampton - Outlaw Torn (4.30)
16-Mar-13  20:20 Wolverhampton - Flow Chart (4.20)
15-Mar-13  17:25 Wolverhampton - Sinchiroka (4.00)
15-Mar-13  15:20 Cheltenham - Bobs Worth (3.76)
16-Mar-13  18:50 Wolverhampton - The Blue Dog (3.72)
13-Mar-13  13:30 Cheltenham - Back In Focus (3.40)
12-Mar-13  15:05 Southwell - Aubrietia (3.40)
15-Mar-13  17:55 Wolverhampton - Flying Tempo (3.21)
12-Mar-13  16:25 Southwell - Shawkantango (2.99)
12-Mar-13  15:20 Cheltenham - Hurricane Fly (2.83)
13-Mar-13  19:50 Kempton - Upavon (2.67)
11-Mar-13  14:40 Plumpton - Upton Mead (2.46)
15-Mar-13  14:40 Cheltenham - At Fishers Cross (2.43)
13-Mar-13  15:45 Southwell - Misleading Promise (2.41)
13-Mar-13  15:05 Southwell - Frontier Fighter (2.38)
16-Mar-13  21:20 Wolverhampton - Blazing Desert (2.34)
16-Mar-13  19:20 Wolverhampton - Hiddon Coin (2.03)
16-Mar-13  17:50 Wolverhampton - Frontier Fighter (1.94)
13-Mar-13  13:55 Southwell - Hannahs Turn (1.81)
16-Mar-13  16:50 Ffos Las - Royal Chatelier (1.80)
16-Mar-13  18:20 Wolverhampton - Classic Colori (1.79)
13-Mar-13  16:25 Southwell - Masterful Act (1.77)
13-Mar-13  16:55 Huntingdon - Chilbury Hill (1.71)
12-Mar-13  14:05 Cheltenham - Simonsig (1.56)
13-Mar-13  15:20 Cheltenham - Sprinter Sacre (1.26)

30 races have been won by second or third top rated horses and 57 top-rated selections have placed including Connectivity in the 15:15 at Uttoxeter on Saturday with Betfair place SP of 7.09Solaras Exhibition in the 17:15 at Lingfield on Saturday with a Betfair place SP of 7.00 and Doctor Hilary in the 19:50 at Wolverhampton on Saturday with a Betfair place SP of 5.54. Were it not for the latter being beaten by a neck, it would have been a clean sweep for the top-rated selections at Wolverhampton on Saturday night – the other 6 all won. To view the overall performance of the top-rated selections, please click here.

Since the beginning of March, backing every top-rated selection to win has returned a profit of 33.28 points, backing them to place has returned a profit of 24.80 points and dutching the top 3 in every race has returned a profit of 32.93 points - a total profit of 91.01 points after commission (based on Betfair SPs).

Bobs Worth landed the Cheltenham Gold Cup

Bobs Worth landed the Cheltenham
Gold Cup (photo: Sporting Life)

At Fishers Cross was victorious in the Albert BartlettAt Fishers Cross was victorious in the
Albert Bartlett (photo: Sporting Life)

Cheltenham Report

Overall there were 7 top-rated winners from 20 rated races at Cheltenham this year – a 35% win rate. Backing every top-rated selection to win would have returned a level stakes profit of 12.61 points after commission (based on Betfair SPs) – a cracking result.

The win rate jumps up to 37% (10 winners out of 27 races), and the returns up to 16.17 points if you include backing the top-rated selections in races featuring unrated horses. Please note: Cherry Picks ratings for EVERY UK & Irish race can be accessed from the daily racecard download on JustStartHere (see the “REALCPRATING” column).

Well done to Charles from London who placed an £8 tricast bet on the top 3 rated Cherry Picks selections in the Gold Cup and won £304. How did you get on at Cheltenham this year?

The 2011/12 Jumps Season – How Did Our Top-Rated Selections Fare In The Big Races?

Friday 9th November 2012

There have been 9 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Morestead in the 13:20 at Warwick on Wednesday (BSP of 17.73)
Benmadigan in the 16:00 at Musselburgh yesterday (BSP of 6.80)
Or De Grugy in the 15:30 at Musselburgh yesterday (BSP of 5.78)
Dunkelly Castle in the 15:30 at Warwick on Wednesday (BSP of 5.10)
Desperate Dex in the 15:40 at Chepstow on Wednesday (BSP of 4.43)
Nameitwhatyoulike in the 15:15 at Nottingham on Wednesday (4.11)
Layali Dubai in the 19:20 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 3.70)
Highland Lodge in the 12:50 at Towcester yesterday (BSP of 2.52)
Roi Du Mee in the 13:25 at Thurles yesterday (BSP of 1.93)

Roi Du Mee made it back-to-back wins over fences when landing an incident-packed race at Thurles that ended with just three finishers.

Roi Du Mee made it back-to-back wins over fences after landing an
incident-packed race at Thurles yesterday (photo: Racing Post)

18 top-rated selections have placed & 13 races have been won by second or third top-rated horses including Validus in the 19:25 at Kempton on Wednesday with a Betfair SP of 22 Night And Dance in the 16:55 at Kempton on Wednesday with a Betfair SP of 14. Dutching the top 3 in every race over the last 2 days would have returned a profit of 14.20 points after Betfair commission (based on Betfair SPs).

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) -41.60 points

(338.30 points amassed in 2012)

Cherry Pips:  +15.70 points

(574.70 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)

The 2011/12 Jumps Season – How The Top-Rated Cherry Picks Selections Fared In The Big Races

After reading Timeform’s preview of the 2012/13 Jumps Season, we decided to investigate how the top-rated Cherry Picks selections fared in 19 of the biggest races of the 2011/12 Jumps Season (as identified by Timeform). You can read the report here. How will our top-rated selections fare in the key races of the 2012/13 Jumps Season…?