Another Stand Out Winning Horse Racing Steamer

Monday 28th January 2013

There have been 5 top-rated winners over the last 3 days:

Delightful Sleep in the 19:30 at Wolverhampton on Friday (BSP of 7.65)
Tarooq in the 14:15 at Wolverhampton on Saturday (BSP of 5.99)
Polar Venture in the 15:05 at Lingfield on Friday (BSP of 3.45)
Sprinter Sacre in the 13:50 at Cheltenham on Saturday (BSP of 1.22)
Hurricane Fly in the 13:55 at Leopardstown yesterday (BSP of 1.17)

Sprinter Sacre was awesome again in the Victor Chandler Chase at Cheltenham on Saturday Hurricane Fly was completely dominant at the business end of the Irish Champion Hurdle at Leopardstown yesterday

Sprinter Sacre was awesome again in the Victor Chandler Chase at Cheltenham on Saturday (photo: Sporting Life)

Hurricane Fly was completely dominant at the business end of the Irish Champion Hurdle at Leopardstown yesterday (photo: Sporting Life)

17 top-rated selections have placed including Russian Bullet who came second in the 13:30 at Lingfield on Friday (Betfair SP of 25.35, place SP of 5.43). 13 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections including Vino Griego who won the 12:40 at Cheltenham on Saturday with a Betfair SP of 30.51Abbey Lane who won the 15:20 at Leopardstown on Saturday with a Betfair SP of 29 and Speed Steed who won the 14:50 at Wolverhampton on Saturday with a Betfair SP of 22.67 (betting system idea: concentrating on top-3 rated horses with big prices). To view the overall performance of the top-rated selections, please click here.

Stand Out, Big Priced Steamer

Toymaker was the stand out steamer in the 17:00 at Wolverhampton on Friday and went on to win the race with a Betfair starting price of 23.60. It recorded green Mov1, Mean & 321 values on JustStartHere after coming in from an 11am price of 44 to a price of 24 at 1 minute before the off:

Stand Out Steamer
Click on image above to enlarge

Betfair Multiples allows you to place bets as small as £1 each way right up until the start of the race, providing plenty of time to act on the the JustStartHere information that comes in a 1 minute before post time:
Betfair Multiples
Click on image above to enlarge

Click here to try out the JustStartHere horse racing market movers monitoring service for just £6 – “great fun & good profits”

Look Out For Late Horse Racing Steamers With Big Odds

Friday 18th January 2013

There have been 6 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Chartreux in the 14:50 at Wincanton yesterday (Betfair SP of 3.15)
Great Ormond in the 18:00 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 3.02)
Paphos in the 13:30 at Lingfield on Wednesday (BSP of 1.87)
Gabrial The Boss in the 14:35 at Lingfield on Wednesday (BSP of 1.71)
Brick Red in the 15:20 at Wincanton yesterday (BSP of 1.55)
Stand Guard in the 17:00 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 1.22)

11 top-rated selections have placed and 11 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections including Commercial who won the 16:15 at Kempton on Wednesday with a Betfair SP of 17.16. Dutching the top 3 in every rated race over the last 2 days would have returned a profit of 11.10 points after commission (based on Betfair SPs).

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) +9.00 points

(+43.80 points amassed in 2013)

Cherry Pips:  +14.10 points

(-82.40 points amassed in 2013)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to the Cherry Picks ratings)

More Big Late Steamers With Big Prices Yesterday

The price of Un Ace more than halved between 3 minutes and 1 minute before the start of the 13:00 at Lingfield. This was signalled by a huge positive 321 value of +5.45 being recorded on JustStartHere (highlighted in red on the screenshot below). Money certainly talked in this instance as the horse went on to win the race with a Betfair starting price of 41.98 (place SP of 10):

Big Late Steamer

Click on image above to enlarge

There was another big late steamer with big odds later on as the price for Dangan Daylight came in from 42 to 30 during the last 3 minutes before the start of the 14:40 at Thurles (high positive JustStartHere 321 value highlighted in red on the screenshot below). The horse went on to be beaten by half a length (Betfair place SP of 4.29):

Big Late Steamer

Click on image above to enlarge

For those who have a system based around the top 2 321 steamers in every race, there was a huge winner in the 15:30 at Lingfield. Border Station was the second biggest late steamer in the race on JustStartHere and went on to win the race with an enormous Betfair SP of 320 (place SP of 29). The 321 value is highlighted in red on the screenshot below:

Big Late Steamer

Click on image above to enlarge

Fancy watching out for unusual betting patterns over the weekend? Click here to try out JustStartHere for just £6.

Watch Out For Outsiders That Have Attracted Late Money

Wednesday 16th January 2013

There have been 7 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Idol Deputy in the 17:30 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 4.50)
Hazard Warning in the 14:20 at Wolverhampton on Monday (4.17)
Shaking Hands in the 13:40 at Ffos Las on yesterday (BSP of 4.02)
Killimore Cottage in the 15:05 at Lingfield yesterday (BSP of 3.27)
Pairumani Prince in the 15:30 at Lingfield on Monday (BSP of 2.78)
Double Dash in the 15:35 at Lingfield yesterday (BSP of 2.60)
Sweet Liberta in the 14:00 at Lingfield on Monday (BSP of 2.13)

13 top-rated selections have placed & 8 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections.

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) -3.00 points

(+34.80 points amassed in 2013)

Cherry Pips:  -28.80 points

(-95.50 points amassed in 2013)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to the Cherry Picks ratings)

More Unusual Betting Patterns To Look Out For

Another horse caught my eye on JustStartHere yesterday – one that may surprise you. Miserere Mei recorded a normally off-putting high negative 321 value of -3.33 but that was AFTER the price had steamed in from 25 to 15 between 15 minutes and 3 minutes before post time (the notable price movements are highlighted in red on the screenshot below):

Unusual Betting Patterns
Click on image above to enlarge

The horse drifted massively during the last 3 minutes before the off but this has to be weighed up against the fact that it was gambled on very heavily during the previous 12 minutes or so. Either way, you should always take note when a a big outsider attracts such a flurry of betting activity.

As it turned out, Miserere Mei (Betfair SP of 21.37) came third in a race where the top 3 were separated by 2 necks. It was a close run thing but the Betfair SP place odds were still a generous 5.17. When it comes to backing outsiders in these scenarios, I would always recommend a conservative approach – i.e. backing them each way or to place.

Watch out for unusual betting patterns today on JustStartHere