Suspicious Betting Activity – Horse Racing Outsiders

Wednesday 23rd January 2013

There have been 8 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Dixie Gwalia in the 16:05 at Lingfield yesterday (Betfair SP of 12.14)
Maypole Joe in the 15:35 at Wolverhampton on Monday (BSP of 5.60)
Woolfall Sovereign in the 13:50 at Lingfield yesterday (BSP of 3.50)
Hab Reeh in the 15:10 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 3.25)
Harry Buckle in the 13:20 at Lingfield yesterday (BSP of 3.15)
Mubtadi in the 14:25 at Lingfield yesterday (BSP of 2.36)
Dorothy’s Dancing in the 14:55 at Lingfield yesterday (BSP of 2.11)
Ashamaly in the 14:35 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 6.68)

10 top-rated selections have placed and 4 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections.

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) -4.20 points

(+39.60 points amassed in 2013)

Cherry Pips:  0.00 points

(-82.40 points amassed in 2013)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to the Cherry Picks ratings)

Suspicious Betting Activity – Horse Racing Outsiders

Following on from our observations last Wednesday, another couple of outsiders attracted late money yesterday only to drift back out again just before the off.

The betting exchange odds for Edgware Road in the 17:10 at Wolverhampton came in from 26 to 18.5 between 5 and 3 minutes before post time (see movement value outlined in red on the screenshot below), only to then drift back our again to 25 at 1 minute before the off. This caused it to record a noticeably high negative value of -3.51 on JustStartHere. Always look out for suspicious late betting activity like this – the horse went on to be beaten by a neck (Betfair SP of 29, place SP of 5.92):

Unusual Betting PatternsClick on image above to enlarge

Earlier on, the betting exchange odds for Even Stevens steamed in from 48 to 30 between 15 minutes and 3 minutes before the start of the 13:50 at Lingfield, only to then drift out again (see screenshot below). It recorded the highest negative 321 rating in the race on JustStartHere and went on to be beaten by half a length (Betfair place SP of 7.2).

Unusual Betting PatternsClick on image above to enlarge

Always ask yourself this when monitoring the prices just before post time – if a horse has recorded a high negative 321 value, is it part of a general drifting pattern or is it because lots of late money went on it prior to 3 minutes before the off to make the drift appear artificially large? If it’s the latter, take note!

Click here to watch the horse racing price movement drama unfold today at Ayr, Kempton, Lingfield & Limerick

Look Out For Late Horse Racing Steamers With Big Odds

Friday 18th January 2013

There have been 6 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Chartreux in the 14:50 at Wincanton yesterday (Betfair SP of 3.15)
Great Ormond in the 18:00 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 3.02)
Paphos in the 13:30 at Lingfield on Wednesday (BSP of 1.87)
Gabrial The Boss in the 14:35 at Lingfield on Wednesday (BSP of 1.71)
Brick Red in the 15:20 at Wincanton yesterday (BSP of 1.55)
Stand Guard in the 17:00 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 1.22)

11 top-rated selections have placed and 11 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections including Commercial who won the 16:15 at Kempton on Wednesday with a Betfair SP of 17.16. Dutching the top 3 in every rated race over the last 2 days would have returned a profit of 11.10 points after commission (based on Betfair SPs).

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) +9.00 points

(+43.80 points amassed in 2013)

Cherry Pips:  +14.10 points

(-82.40 points amassed in 2013)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to the Cherry Picks ratings)

More Big Late Steamers With Big Prices Yesterday

The price of Un Ace more than halved between 3 minutes and 1 minute before the start of the 13:00 at Lingfield. This was signalled by a huge positive 321 value of +5.45 being recorded on JustStartHere (highlighted in red on the screenshot below). Money certainly talked in this instance as the horse went on to win the race with a Betfair starting price of 41.98 (place SP of 10):

Big Late Steamer

Click on image above to enlarge

There was another big late steamer with big odds later on as the price for Dangan Daylight came in from 42 to 30 during the last 3 minutes before the start of the 14:40 at Thurles (high positive JustStartHere 321 value highlighted in red on the screenshot below). The horse went on to be beaten by half a length (Betfair place SP of 4.29):

Big Late Steamer

Click on image above to enlarge

For those who have a system based around the top 2 321 steamers in every race, there was a huge winner in the 15:30 at Lingfield. Border Station was the second biggest late steamer in the race on JustStartHere and went on to win the race with an enormous Betfair SP of 320 (place SP of 29). The 321 value is highlighted in red on the screenshot below:

Big Late Steamer

Click on image above to enlarge

Fancy watching out for unusual betting patterns over the weekend? Click here to try out JustStartHere for just £6.

How Do We Personally Use The Price Movement Data Provided By JustStartHere?

I had a bit of time to kill on my lunchbreak today so I logged into my JustStartHere account and had a quick look at the steamers and drifters in the upcoming race (the 13:30 at Lingfield). I noticed that 2 outsiders (Polarity & Big Kahuna) had attracted a bit of money during the last 3 minutes before post time. In fact, they recorded the 2 highest positive 321 values in the race on  JustStartHere (highlighted in red on the screenshot below):

Horse Racing SteamersClick on image above to enlarge

Seeing that the race had 8 runners (meaning 3 place positions), and that the odds were good, I decided to put £2 on each of them to place:

Betfair ScreenClick on image above to enlarge

Polarity duly came third with an enormous Betfair place SP of 65.26 and netted me a profit of £120.19 after commission:

Betfair WinningsClick on image above to enlarge

We receive a lot of emails asking how we personally use the JustStartHere information and this demonstrates our approach perfectly. It is important to be selective and look for value. In this race the 3 favourites were odds-on to place yet the 2 biggest positive 321 ratings on JSH were recorded by 2 outsiders. All it takes is for one of the top 3 in the betting to run a bad race and for one of the 2 outsiders that have been backed during the last 3 minutes before post time to show why they have attracted late money. As it turned out, this is exactly what transpired and a £4 outlay returned a profit of £120.

You don’t have to try and force an angle in every single race – just pick the ones where you think there’s value to be had. Nor do you have to sit and follow a system all day, every day to make use of the data. At just £6 per month the service still provides value for money if you only use it in the evenings, at weekends or whenever you get the chance to follow the racing. Indeed, the profit I made in this race covers a 20 month subscription to the service.

Click on the button below to monitor unusual betting patterns in all UK & Irish horse racing markets with JustStartHere:

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Following The Late Horse Racing Market Movers On Betfair Can Be Very Profitable…

Monday 6th August 2012

There have been 17 top-rated winners over the last 3 days:

Top-Rated Winners

Top-rated Fulbright wins at Glorious GoodwoodTop-rated Fulbright wins at Glorious Goodwood (photo: Sporting Life)

37 top-rated selections have placed and 23 races have been won by second or third top-rated horses.

E-Book System Results – Last 3 Days

Cherry Lays -1.1 points

(612.48 points amassed since Oct 2009)

Cherry Pips:  -29.1 points

(400.5 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)

Late Steamers

Georgie won the 14:15 at Galway yesterday with a huge Betfair SP of 105.8 after recording a 321 value of +2 on JustStartHere (the highest in the race):

Late SteamerPlease Note: You can view the image above and the one below in more detail by right-clicking on them and selecting “Open image in new tab”. Alternatively you can zoom in and out by holding the Ctrl key and pressing + or -.

Lazarus Bell placed in the 15:15 at Newbury yesterday with a Betfair place SP of 12.6 after recording a 321 value of +2.3 on JustStartHere (again, the highest in the race):

Late SteamerWatch out for unusual betting patterns this week with JustStartHere:

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The Profitable Horse Racing Market Movers System That’s Returned 29.51 Points After Betfair Commission Over The Last 3 Days

Free Horse Racing RatingsMonday 4th June 2012 

There have been 20 top-rated winners over the last 3 days including:

Lui Rei in the 17:25 at Epsom on Saturday (BSP of 11.7)
Lordofthehouse in the 14:10 at Haydock on Saturday (BSP of 7)
Rocktherunway in the 14:25 at Musselburgh on Saturday (BSP of 6.24)
Azulada Bay in the 15:30 at Fontwell yesterday (BSP of 5.94)
Al Wajba in the 16:25 at Newcastle on Friday (BSP of 4.82)
Woolston Ferry in the 18:30 at Pontefract on Friday (BSP of 3.9)
Gatewood in the 14:15 at Epsom on Friday (BSP of 3.7)
Ostentation in the 17:15 at Brighton on Friday (BSP of 3.52)
Laverre in the 20:40 at Pontefract on Friday (BSP of 3.44)
Camelot in the Investec Derby at Epsom on Saturday (BSP of 1.73

Camelot set up the mouthwatering prospect of a Triple Crown bid with a superb victory in the Investec Derby at Epsom

Camelot set up the mouthwatering prospect of a Triple Crown bid with
a superb victory in the Investec Derby at Epsom (photo: Sporting Life)


33
 top-rated selections have placed and 26 races have been won by second or third top-rated horses. To view the overall performance of our top-rated selections, please click here.

PLEASE NOTE: If you would like to access the Cherry Picks ratings 7 days a week, please sign up to our horse racing market movers identification service JustStartHere. The ratings are available to download in both PDF and Excel format direct from the website every morning from about 8am.

Subscription costs just £6 per month via PayPal and there is no long-term commitment to the service – you can cancel or reactivate your account at any time direct from your PayPal account. You also get full access to our steamers and drifters identification service, our detailed daily racecards & the historical price movement data. To sign up, please click here or on the button below:


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E-Book System Results – Last 3 Days

Cherry Lays -0.2 points

(582.58 points amassed since Oct 2009)

Cherry Pips:  -22.2 points

(470.3 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)

 

JustStartHere “Noteworthy Steamers” System Results

The JustStartHere “Noteworthy Steamer” system has returned a profit of 29.51 points after Betfair commission over the last 3 days. It involves backing “stand out” steamers on JustStartHere such as Was in the 16:05 at Epsom on Friday:

Noteworthy SteamerPlease Note: You can view the image above in more detail by right-clicking on it and selecting “Open image in new tab”. Alternatively you can zoom in and out by holding the Ctrl key and pressing + or -.  


01/06/2012 Results:

01/06/2012 Results02/06/2012 Results:

02/06/2012 Results03/06/2012 Results:

03/06/2012 Results
As with all approaches, it will inevitably experience losing days so make sure you have a good banking strategy in place (such as the one outlined here). Sign up to JustStartHere to try the system out today:
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Apologies to members who were redirected away from JustStarthere.com over the weekend. There were some domain issues but luckily everything’s back to normal now. For future reference, you can always access your account from the login page:

http://www.juststarthere.co.uk/user/login.html


Please visit the website or drop us an email if you have any queries about any of our services. 

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