Watch Out For Outsiders That Have Attracted Late Money

Wednesday 16th January 2013

There have been 7 top-rated winners over the last 2 days:

Idol Deputy in the 17:30 at Wolverhampton yesterday (BSP of 4.50)
Hazard Warning in the 14:20 at Wolverhampton on Monday (4.17)
Shaking Hands in the 13:40 at Ffos Las on yesterday (BSP of 4.02)
Killimore Cottage in the 15:05 at Lingfield yesterday (BSP of 3.27)
Pairumani Prince in the 15:30 at Lingfield on Monday (BSP of 2.78)
Double Dash in the 15:35 at Lingfield yesterday (BSP of 2.60)
Sweet Liberta in the 14:00 at Lingfield on Monday (BSP of 2.13)

13 top-rated selections have placed & 8 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections.

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) -3.00 points

(+34.80 points amassed in 2013)

Cherry Pips:  -28.80 points

(-95.50 points amassed in 2013)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to the Cherry Picks ratings)

More Unusual Betting Patterns To Look Out For

Another horse caught my eye on JustStartHere yesterday – one that may surprise you. Miserere Mei recorded a normally off-putting high negative 321 value of -3.33 but that was AFTER the price had steamed in from 25 to 15 between 15 minutes and 3 minutes before post time (the notable price movements are highlighted in red on the screenshot below):

Unusual Betting Patterns
Click on image above to enlarge

The horse drifted massively during the last 3 minutes before the off but this has to be weighed up against the fact that it was gambled on very heavily during the previous 12 minutes or so. Either way, you should always take note when a a big outsider attracts such a flurry of betting activity.

As it turned out, Miserere Mei (Betfair SP of 21.37) came third in a race where the top 3 were separated by 2 necks. It was a close run thing but the Betfair SP place odds were still a generous 5.17. When it comes to backing outsiders in these scenarios, I would always recommend a conservative approach – i.e. backing them each way or to place.

Watch out for unusual betting patterns today on JustStartHere

Today’s Free Ratings For Racing At Lingfield, Catterick, Wexford, Hereford & Kempton

Wednesday 5th December 2012

There have been 4 top-rated winners over the last 2 days – all at Wolverhampton on Monday:

Lucy Bee in the 15:00 with a Betfair starting price of 6.20
Angelo Poliziano in the 14:30 with a Betfair starting price of 5.40
Corton Lad in the 16:00 with a Betfair starting price of 2.76
Chookie Hamilton in the 13:25 with a Betfair starting price of 2.46

23 top-rated selections have placed including Darkest Night in the 16:30 at Wolverhampton on Monday with a Betfair place SP of 6.8011 races have been won by second or third top-rated selections including Dream Win who won the 13:40 at Wolverhampton yesterday with a Betfair SP of 25.47.

E-Book System Results – Last 2 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) +11.20 points

(347.98 points amassed in 2012)

Cherry Pips:  +13.60 points

(612.50 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)

Free Ratings For Today’s Racing At Leicester, Wolverhampton & Plumpton?

Monday 19th November 2012

There have been 14 top-rated winners over the last 3 days:

Date Race Horse Betfair SP
17-Nov-12 12:30 Lingfield Ishikawa 8.82
16-Nov-12 16:45 Wolverhampton Ballarina 5.89
17-Nov-12 12:00 Lingfield Merry Jaunt 5.70
18-Nov-12 15:20 Punchestown Beef To The Heels 5.60
16-Nov-12 19:15 Wolverhampton Anjaz 4.80
16-Nov-12 14:10 Lingfield Aldermoor 4.70
16-Nov-12 20:30 Dundalk Balmont Flyer 4.63
17-Nov-12 19:50 Wolverhampton Gworn 3.80
17-Nov-12 12:25 Punchestown Tarquinius 2.62
17-Nov-12 14:15 Lingfield Farraaj 2.53
18-Nov-12 14:40 Fontwell Overlay 2.47
16-Nov-12 13:35 Lingfield Layali Dubai 2.24
17-Nov-12 14:40 Uttoxeter Lean Burn 1.93
18-Nov-12 14:15 Punchestown Hurricane Fly 1.41
Hurricane Fly made a winning reappearance in the Dobbins & Madigans At Punchestown Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown

Hurricane Fly made a winning reappearance in the Dobbins & Madigans
At Punchestown Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown (photo: Sporting Life)

25 top-rated selections have placed & 11 races have been won by second or third top-rated horses. To view the overall performance of our top-rated selections, please click here.

E-Book System Results – Last 3 Days

Cherry Lays (Recovery) +10.00 points

(317.98 points amassed in 2012)

Cherry Pips:  +11.90 points

(575.40 points amassed in 2012)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)

Top-rated Fault won the 15:20 at Lingfield yesterday with a Betfair SP of 24.6

Free Horse Racing Ratings

Thursday 12th April 2012

There were 5 top-rated winners yesterday including Fault in the 15:20 at Lingfield with a huge Betfair SP of 24.6 and The Giving Tree in the 17:40 at Nottingham with a Betfair SP of 8.41. After a torrid few weeks for the top-rated selections it was nice to get another big-priced winner on the board.

16 top-rated selections placed and 10 races were won by second or third top-rated horses – the second and third top-rated Cherry Picks have been stealing the show of late! To view the overall performance of our top-rated selections, please click here and scroll down to the Cherry Picks results table.

PLEASE NOTE: If you would like to access the ratings 7 days a week, please 
sign up to our horse racing price monitoring site JustStartHere - subscription costs £6 per month via PayPal. The ratings are available to download in PDF and Excel format direct from the website 
every morning from about 8am.


Yesterday’s System Results

Cherry Lays TBC

(588.08 points amassed since Oct 2009)

Cherry Pips:  TBC

(1,798.96 points amassed since Jan 2010)

Full Results (Please note: these 2 systems are not connected to our ratings)


Yesterday’s Notable Steamers

It was a very good day for big late steamers yesterday. Hawkswood was the biggest late steamer in the 20:50 at Dundalk and went on to win the race with a Betfair SP of 30.81 after recording a noticeably high 321 value of +4.47 on JustStartHere (outlined in red on the screenshot below):

Winning Late Steamer

Please Note: You can view this image and the ones below in more detail by right-clicking on them and selecting “Open image in new tab”. Alternatively you can zoom in and out by holding the Ctrl key and pressing + or -. 


Ever Roses 
was the biggest late steamer in the 17:00 at Catterick and went on to place with a huge Betfair place SP of 13.24. It recorded a 321 value of +3.33 on JustStartHere (outlined in red on the  screenshot below):

Placed Late Steamer


Certal
 recorded the highest positive 321 value in the 17:10 at Nottingham and went on to place with a Betfair place SP of 10.21:

Placed Late Steamer

Electrolyser was the biggest overall steamer in the 15:40 at Nottingham after coming in from an 11am price of 26 to a 1 minute price of 19.5. It recorded the highest Mov1 value in the race on JustStartHere (outlined in red on the screenshot below):

Winning Steamer

Watch out for those stand out betting patterns today:

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